BOUGHT No $4,828 @ 98.9¢ — Iran full airspace closure by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
Polymarket wallet · 0x8afa…adb6 · “stupid22” on Polymarket · “Weather specialist”
Wallet 0x8afa…adb6 — 246–7 on Polymarket
Wallet 0x8afa…adb6 is 246–7 on resolved Polymarket Weather markets since 2026-05-22: 253 positions held to resolution, realized P&L −$125,933 as reported by Polymarket's data API, 1000 fills on record, each linked to its Polygon transaction. Unrealized P&L is shown separately. Graded 2026-09-29 21:17 UTC.
Record
How the record is counted
| Category | W | L | Void | Exited early | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All | 246 | 7 | 0 | 585 | 43 |
| Weather | 187 | 3 | 0 | 362 | 4 |
| Other | 38 | 1 | 0 | 129 | 25 |
| Crypto | 17 | 0 | 0 | 53 | 0 |
| Politics | 4 | 2 | 0 | 37 | 14 |
| Sports | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Economy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Realized and unrealized
Unrealized on open positions: +$17,618 (venue figure, not counted above).
Receipts
How a receipt is graded
1,000 fills on record since 2026-05-22; the newest 300 shown.
- open — unrealized
BOUGHT No $190 @ 99.9¢ — Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 29? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $443 @ 97.9¢ — Iran leadership change by October 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $183 @ 99.9¢ — Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 29? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $600 @ 97.5¢ — Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in October? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $16 @ 85¢ — Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $495 @ 98.9¢ — Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in October? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $12,665 @ 99.7¢ — Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $696 @ 99.6¢ — Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $451 @ 20¢ — Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $2,000 @ 20¢ — Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,181 @ 97.7¢ — Iran leadership change by October 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $693 @ 97.6¢ — Iran leadership change by October 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $773 @ 97.5¢ — Iran leadership change by October 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $526 @ 99.9¢ — Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 28? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $135 @ 97.5¢ — Iran leadership change by October 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $640 @ 94¢ — Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $152 @ 99.9¢ — Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 27? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $2,076 @ 99.9¢ — Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 27? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $37 @ 93¢ — Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in October? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $86 @ 97.4¢ — Iran leadership change by October 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $10 @ 99.9¢ — Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 26? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $42 @ 99.9¢ — Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 26? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT No $435 @ 99.9¢ — Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 26? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $136 @ 99.9¢ — Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 25? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $205 @ 99.9¢ — Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 27? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $480 @ 97.4¢ — Iran leadership change by October 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $12 @ 97.2¢ — Iran leadership change by October 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $7,587 @ 97.1¢ — Iran leadership change by October 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $0 @ 0.1¢ — Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C or below on September 25? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $748 @ 99.8¢ — Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 25? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $35 @ 98.8¢ — Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 25? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $0 @ 1.7¢ — Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C or below on September 25? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $1,100 @ 85.4¢ — Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C or below on September 25? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗BOUGHT No $50 @ 90¢ — Iran leadership change by December 31?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $2,091 @ 90¢ — Iran leadership change by December 31?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,111 @ 89¢ — Iran leadership change by December 31?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $4,691 @ 89¢ — Iran leadership change by December 31?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $222 @ 88¢ — Iran leadership change by December 31?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,625 @ 88¢ — Iran leadership change by December 31?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $6,777 @ 88¢ — Iran leadership change by December 31?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $23,038 @ 87¢ — Iran leadership change by December 31?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $5,995 @ 86¢ — Iran leadership change by December 31?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $7,855 @ 94¢ — Iran leadership change by November 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $688 @ 99.5¢ — Iran leadership change by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $3 @ 99.6¢ — Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in September? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $4,566 @ 86¢ — Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $266 @ 95.4¢ — Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $113 @ 96.9¢ — Iran leadership change by October 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $93 @ 99.5¢ — Iran leadership change by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $388 @ 94¢ — Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $58 @ 99.5¢ — Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $6,502 @ 86¢ — Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $117 @ 95¢ — Will Hsu Shu-hua win the next Nantou County Magistrate election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $112 @ 90.2¢ — Will Chung Tung-chin win the next Miaoli County Magistrate election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $882 @ 99.9¢ — Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 24? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,487 @ 99.9¢ — Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 24? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $11,806 @ 99.5¢ — Iran leadership change by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $2,339 @ 99.4¢ — Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $99 @ 99.4¢ — Iran leadership change by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $17 @ 99.9¢ — Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 24? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $1,350 @ 99.9¢ — Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 24? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $2,512 @ 99.6¢ — Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $247 @ 99.8¢ — Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $52 @ 99.8¢ — Will Xi Jinping visit US by October 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $519 @ 94.8¢ — Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $486 @ 98.8¢ — Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $20 @ 98.5¢ — Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $531 @ 97.4¢ — Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $1,674 @ 99.1¢ — Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes incorrect ✗BOUGHT Yes $215 @ 99.3¢ — Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓SOLD No $2,878 @ 85¢ — Iran leadership change by December 31?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $44,753 @ 85¢ — Iran leadership change by December 31?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,492 @ 99.4¢ — Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $5 @ 99¢ — Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓SOLD Yes $40 @ 99.8¢ — Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $2,162 @ 99.7¢ — Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $9,400 @ 94¢ — Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $5,922 @ 99.3¢ — Iran leadership change by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $2,878 @ 99.7¢ — Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $869 @ 99.8¢ — Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $154 @ 60.5¢ — Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $293 @ 39¢ — Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $780 @ 39¢ — Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $585 @ 39¢ — Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $632 @ 99.2¢ — Iran leadership change by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $2,238 @ 99.4¢ — Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $4,064 @ 99.5¢ — Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $219 @ 99.6¢ — Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $139 @ 99.7¢ — Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $111 @ 99.5¢ — Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $742 @ 99.5¢ — Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $10 @ 99.6¢ — Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $858 @ 94¢ — Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $30 @ 99.8¢ — Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $89 @ 99.8¢ — Will Xi Jinping visit US by October 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $3,447 @ 99.3¢ — Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $5,097 @ 99.4¢ — Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $3,764 @ 98.7¢ — Iran leadership change by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $5,583 @ 85¢ — Iran leadership change by December 31?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $3,083 @ 99.1¢ — Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?
open — unrealizedSOLD No $2,973 @ 99.1¢ — Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $738 @ 99.9¢ — Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 20? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $3,964 @ 99.1¢ — Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,317 @ 99.9¢ — Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 18? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $990 @ 99¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $99 @ 99¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $865 @ 99¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $177 @ 97.2¢ — Will Xi Jinping visit US by October 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $325 @ 97.2¢ — Will Xi Jinping visit US by October 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $15,640 @ 99¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $8,170 @ 97.9¢ — Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $3,820 @ 98.8¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $10 @ 98.7¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $488 @ 97.6¢ — Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,803 @ 96.8¢ — Will Xi Jinping visit US by October 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $10,162 @ 99.3¢ — Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $16 @ 99.8¢ — Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 19? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $67 @ 97.2¢ — Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in September? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,332 @ 95.5¢ — Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $104 @ 95.4¢ — Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $890 @ 90¢ — Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $900 @ 90¢ — Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $19 @ 88¢ — Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $9 @ 90¢ — Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $131 @ 96.9¢ — Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in September? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $6,000 @ 94¢ — Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $970 @ 94¢ — Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1 @ 99.7¢ — Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in September? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $121 @ 99.3¢ — Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in September? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $222 @ 97.4¢ — Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in September? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $2,600 @ 52¢ — Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $3,264 @ 98.8¢ — Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,362 @ 99.7¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $12 @ 49.1¢ — Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $10 @ 95¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $158 @ 93¢ — Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $176 @ 77¢ — Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $120 @ 48¢ — Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $381 @ 97.4¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $132 @ 53¢ — Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $539 @ 53.9¢ — Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $1,400 @ 35¢ — 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
open — unrealizedSOLD No $631 @ 98.4¢ — Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $16 @ 51.7¢ — Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $155 @ 51.7¢ — Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $104 @ 52.2¢ — Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
open — unrealizedSOLD No $131 @ 98.7¢ — Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $440 @ 44¢ — Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $5 @ 54.6¢ — Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $319 @ 54.3¢ — Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $429 @ 53.8¢ — Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $273 @ 54.1¢ — Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $537 @ 53.4¢ — Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $544 @ 54.1¢ — Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $275 @ 52.3¢ — Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $370 @ 44¢ — Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $896 @ 93¢ — Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $5,102 @ 93¢ — Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $863 @ 49¢ — Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $96 @ 48¢ — Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $55 @ 48.5¢ — Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $14 @ 48.3¢ — Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $48 @ 48¢ — Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $47 @ 48.1¢ — Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $480 @ 48¢ — Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $962 @ 48.1¢ — Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $480 @ 48¢ — Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $5 @ 98.6¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $42 @ 99.9¢ — Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 10? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $3,682 @ 99.9¢ — Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 10? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓SOLD Yes $465 @ 46.5¢ — Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $381 @ 46.5¢ — Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $451 @ 99.7¢ — Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 10? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $132 @ 97.1¢ — Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 10? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $434 @ 99.6¢ — Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 10? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $5 @ 99.9¢ — Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 10? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $86 @ 97.6¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $54 @ 45.1¢ — Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $100 @ 45.5¢ — Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,015 @ 99.9¢ — Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 9? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $21,608 @ 93¢ — Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $3,299 @ 96.8¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $254 @ 99.1¢ — Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in September? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $741 @ 98.7¢ — Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $674 @ 99.5¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $920 @ 99.9¢ — Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 7? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓SOLD No $1,685 @ 17¢ — Israel closes its airspace by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $107 @ 99.8¢ — Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on September 6? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT No $16 @ 99.9¢ — Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C or higher on September 7? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $105 @ 99.9¢ — Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 7? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $65 @ 99.9¢ — Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 7? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $146 @ 99.9¢ — Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 7? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $30 @ 99.9¢ — Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 7? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $258 @ 99.9¢ — Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 7? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $0 @ 99.9¢ — Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 6? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $204 @ 97.2¢ — Iran leadership change by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $61 @ 97.3¢ — Iran leadership change by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $282 @ 97.4¢ — Iran leadership change by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $6,762 @ 85¢ — Iran leadership change by December 31?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $309 @ 99.9¢ — Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 4? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $125 @ 99.9¢ — Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 4? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $474 @ 99.9¢ — Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 4? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $320 @ 99.4¢ — Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $14,985 @ 99.9¢ — Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $20 @ 98.1¢ — Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $10,211 @ 96¢ — Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $293 @ 99.9¢ — Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 3? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $50 @ 99.9¢ — Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C or higher on September 3? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $68 @ 99.9¢ — Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 3? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $215 @ 99.9¢ — Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 3? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $328 @ 99.9¢ — Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 2? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT No $8 @ 99.9¢ — Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 2? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $126 @ 99.9¢ — Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 2? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $158 @ 99.8¢ — Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 2? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $15 @ 99.7¢ — Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 2? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $15 @ 99.9¢ — Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 2? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $5,465 @ 93¢ — Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $4,976 @ 97.5¢ — Iran leadership change by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $4,908 @ 95¢ — Israel closes its airspace by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $516 @ 94¢ — Iran leadership change by October 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $906 @ 99.9¢ — Israel closes its airspace by August 31? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $99 @ 99.3¢ — Israel closes its airspace by August 31? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $529 @ 95¢ — Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $10 @ 99.8¢ — Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 29? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $15 @ 99.9¢ — Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 30? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $87 @ 99.9¢ — Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 30? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT No $74 @ 99.9¢ — Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on August 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $54 @ 99.9¢ — Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C or below on August 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $54 @ 99.9¢ — Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on August 31? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $74 @ 99.9¢ — Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 31? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $119 @ 99.9¢ — Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,047 @ 99.9¢ — Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $133 @ 95¢ — Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $424 @ 99.9¢ — Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $957 @ 96.7¢ — Iran leadership change by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $31 @ 99.9¢ — Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 29? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT No $233 @ 99.9¢ — Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 30? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $115 @ 96.7¢ — Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $100 @ 99.5¢ — Iran leadership change by August 31? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $3,250 @ 94¢ — Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $2,939 @ 99.7¢ — Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $264 @ 98¢ — Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $33 @ 99.7¢ — Will Australia send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $649 @ 99.7¢ — Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $2,984 @ 99.5¢ — Iran full airspace closure by August 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $4,004 @ 99.9¢ — Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 27? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $5,298 @ 99.9¢ — Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 27? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $60 @ 99.9¢ — Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 28? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $6,898 @ 99.8¢ — Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 27? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $250 @ 25¢ — Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $10,725 @ 97.5¢ — Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $2,248 @ 98.9¢ — Iran full airspace closure by August 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $3,421 @ 98.9¢ — Israel closes its airspace by August 31? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $681 @ 99.9¢ — Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 27? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $1,942 @ 98.4¢ — Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $9,960 @ 99.6¢ — Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $197 @ 99.9¢ — Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 26? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $20 @ 99.9¢ — Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 27? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $173 @ 35.3¢ — Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $575 @ 35.1¢ — Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,604 @ 98¢ — Israel closes its airspace by August 31? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓SOLD No $318 @ 61¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $234 @ 99.9¢ — Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C or higher on August 26? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $194 @ 99.9¢ — Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 26? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $105 @ 99.9¢ — Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 26? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $1 @ 99.9¢ — Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 26? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $297 @ 99.9¢ — Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 26? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $392 @ 97.9¢ — Israel closes its airspace by August 31? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓SOLD No $7,492 @ 93¢ — Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $2,156 @ 71.9¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $54 @ 97.6¢ — Iran full airspace closure by August 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $30 @ 99.9¢ — Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on August 25? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $82 @ 99.9¢ — Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 25? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $206 @ 99.9¢ — Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 25? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $710 @ 99.8¢ — Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 25? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $947 @ 33¢ — Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $4,410 @ 63¢ — Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $882 @ 98.5¢ — Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $2,558 @ 98.4¢ — Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $6,547 @ 95.7¢ — Xi Jinping out before 2027?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $177 @ 99.8¢ — US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 22? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $696 @ 99.6¢ — US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 22? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $520 @ 99.6¢ — US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 22? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $9,500 @ 95¢ — Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $9,500 @ 95¢ — Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,410 @ 98.5¢ — Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $999 @ 99.9¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $6,184 @ 97.2¢ — Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $388 @ 90.1¢ — Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $48 @ 98.4¢ — Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $86 @ 99.9¢ — Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 21? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $569 @ 99.9¢ — Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 21? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $1,634 @ 97.7¢ — Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $560 @ 97.6¢ — Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,705 @ 99.9¢ — Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 20? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,731 @ 99.9¢ — Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C or below on August 20? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,280 @ 64¢ — Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,235 @ 99.1¢ — Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,189 @ 95.8¢ — Xi Jinping out before 2027?
open — unrealized
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- Wallets are pseudonymous. A wallet is its address. A name beside it is the handle its owner chose on Polymarket and set to public; labels in quotes are inferred from trade patterns on the venue and nothing else.
- Receipts, not advice. A receipt records what a wallet did and what the market later paid. Nothing here says what to bet. Research, not advice.
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Data: Polymarket data API, wallet 0x8afa03dd6974e44d00c4d14dcccb00c0ddf6adb6 · ← All whale receipts