Polymarket wallet · 0x8afa…adb6 · “stupid22” on Polymarket · “Weather specialist”

Wallet 0x8afa…adb6 — 246–7 on Polymarket

Wallet 0x8afa…adb6 is 246–7 on resolved Polymarket Weather markets since 2026-05-22: 253 positions held to resolution, realized P&L −$125,933 as reported by Polymarket's data API, 1000 fills on record, each linked to its Polygon transaction. Unrealized P&L is shown separately. Graded 2026-09-29 21:17 UTC.

Record

How the record is counted
W and L count positions held to resolution: a win when the outcome held received the payout. Positions sold before resolution are exited early and are never wins or losses; a split payout is void. Research, not advice.
CategoryWLVoidExited earlyOpen
All2467058543
Weather187303624
Other381012925
Crypto1700530
Politics4203714
Sports01010
Economy00030
−$125,933realized, as reported by Polymarket’s data API
Realized and unrealized
Realized and unrealized P&L are Polymarket's own figures for this wallet, read from its public data API and labelled as such. TapeXray computes neither, and unrealized never appears in a headline.

Unrealized on open positions: +$17,618 (venue figure, not counted above).

Receipts

How a receipt is graded
A fill is correct when the side it bought paid out at resolution (or the side it sold did not), incorrect otherwise, and open until the market resolves. A grade is a fact about one fill: not a profit, and not a recommendation.

1,000 fills on record since 2026-05-22; the newest 300 shown.

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Polymarket moved 8¢ on US recession in 2026? in the last 60 minutes (12¢ → 20¢). Kalshi hasn't caught up — still sitting at 14¢.Get alerts (opens in a new tab)

Fine print

Data: Polymarket data API, wallet 0x8afa03dd6974e44d00c4d14dcccb00c0ddf6adb6 · ← All whale receipts