SOLD No $37,869 @ 96¢ — Trump out as President before 2027?
Polymarket wallet · 0x8b4b…541b · “generalist”
Wallet 0x8b4b…541b — 208–28 on Polymarket
Wallet 0x8b4b…541b is 208–28 on resolved Polymarket markets since 2026-02-10: 236 positions held to resolution, realized P&L −$206,860 as reported by Polymarket's data API, 1001 fills on record, each linked to its Polygon transaction. Unrealized P&L is shown separately. Graded 2026-09-29 21:17 UTC.
Record
How the record is counted
| Category | W | L | Void | Exited early | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All | 208 | 28 | 0 | 602 | 80 |
| Other | 98 | 20 | 0 | 310 | 25 |
| Crypto | 78 | 2 | 0 | 177 | 43 |
| Sports | 21 | 6 | 0 | 74 | 0 |
| Politics | 7 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 12 |
| Economy | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 |
| Tech | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
Realized and unrealized
Unrealized on open positions: +$147,469 (venue figure, not counted above).
Receipts
How a receipt is graded
1,001 fills on record since 2026-02-10; the newest 300 shown.
- open — unrealized
BOUGHT Yes $11,491 @ 57.4¢ — Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $43 @ 99.5¢ — Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $91 @ 98.2¢ — Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $14,002 @ 98.6¢ — Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $569 @ 96.7¢ — Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in September? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $586 @ 98.6¢ — Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in September? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $175 @ 97.3¢ — Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,095 @ 95.5¢ — Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $2,812 @ 96.6¢ — Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $524 @ 93.9¢ — Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $639 @ 93¢ — Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,534 @ 99.6¢ — Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in September? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $783 @ 98.6¢ — Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in September? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $96 @ 96.1¢ — Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $8,699 @ 93¢ — Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $13,274 @ 99.6¢ — Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,580 @ 80¢ — Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $4,765 @ 94¢ — Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in September? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $10,482 @ 99.5¢ — Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in September? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $51,104 @ 97¢ — Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $643 @ 96.1¢ — Xi Jinping out before 2027?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $16,116 @ 94¢ — Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,542 @ 96¢ — Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,572 @ 99¢ — Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $2,606 @ 96.2¢ — Xi Jinping out before 2027?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $2,850 @ 99.3¢ — Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $494 @ 98.7¢ — Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $197 @ 98.6¢ — Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $5 @ 95.3¢ — Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $615 @ 96.2¢ — Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $6,275 @ 95.7¢ — Xi Jinping out before 2027?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $3,376 @ 89¢ — Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $687 @ 95¢ — Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $10,578 @ 92¢ — Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $21,440 @ 98.5¢ — Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in September? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $8,125 @ 96.1¢ — Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in September? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $4,674 @ 97.1¢ — Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $366 @ 98.1¢ — Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $2,271 @ 96¢ — Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $515 @ 93¢ — Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $301 @ 91¢ — Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,154 @ 98.2¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,206 @ 86¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $4,338 @ 98.6¢ — Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $2,325 @ 93¢ — Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $495 @ 92¢ — Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $2,092 @ 96.7¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $99 @ 99.1¢ — Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
open — unrealizedSOLD No $5,610 @ 99.9¢ — Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $115,934 @ 99.6¢ — Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $48 @ 92¢ — Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $10,554 @ 98.7¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $202 @ 98.5¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $2,545 @ 99.7¢ — Will VfL Osnabrück win on 2026-09-02? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $0 @ 88¢ — Will Cardiff City FC win on 2026-09-02? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $9,003 @ 99¢ — Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $2,333 @ 89¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $3,881 @ 98.7¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $755 @ 98.1¢ — Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $319 @ 93¢ — Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $3,398 @ 99.5¢ — Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $5,890 @ 96.5¢ — Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $550 @ 97.4¢ — Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $6,948 @ 95.5¢ — Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $73 @ 96.2¢ — Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $6,052 @ 91¢ — Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $2,156 @ 95.9¢ — Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $49,370 @ 95¢ — Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $603 @ 98.6¢ — Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $18,932 @ 97.9¢ — Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in August? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $64,478 @ 99.6¢ — Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $20,926 @ 99.3¢ — Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in August? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $5,204 @ 95.9¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $20,443 @ 97.6¢ — Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $5,414 @ 88¢ — Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $9,979 @ 93¢ — Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $2,753 @ 95.8¢ — Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $32,322 @ 95¢ — Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $6,780 @ 97.1¢ — Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $155 @ 98.8¢ — Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $11,323 @ 99.9¢ — Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in August? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $105 @ 99.6¢ — Trump out as President by August 31? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $18,715 @ 93.6¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓SOLD No $3,465 @ 99.9¢ — Will Bitcoin dip to $42,500 in August? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $9,475 @ 99.9¢ — Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in August? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗SOLD No $18,818 @ 99.9¢ — Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in August? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $19,873 @ 92.9¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $533 @ 98.9¢ — Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $667 @ 49.7¢ — Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,105 @ 85¢ — Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $62 @ 88¢ — Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in August? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,968 @ 95.9¢ — Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $8,569 @ 95.5¢ — Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $7,360 @ 92.4¢ — Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $107 @ 89¢ — Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $466 @ 95¢ — Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $19 @ 88¢ — Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,353 @ 93¢ — Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $102 @ 88¢ — Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $11,443 @ 99.4¢ — Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in August? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $17,407 @ 98.8¢ — Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $910 @ 91¢ — Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $8 @ 73¢ — Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $132 @ 70¢ — Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $3,094 @ 90¢ — Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $582 @ 98.1¢ — Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $1,071 @ 96¢ — Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $3,758 @ 99.6¢ — Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $115 @ 99.1¢ — Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in August? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $2,775 @ 97.5¢ — Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $279 @ 99.6¢ — Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in August? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,577 @ 99.2¢ — Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in August? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $0 @ 88¢ — Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $496 @ 98.1¢ — Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,129 @ 96.4¢ — Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in August? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $307 @ 96.6¢ — Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in August? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,592 @ 98.6¢ — Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $18 @ 94¢ — Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $5,002 @ 99.2¢ — Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in August? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $64 @ 98.6¢ — Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in August? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $296 @ 98.4¢ — Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,014 @ 94¢ — Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $118 @ 98.1¢ — Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $97 @ 84¢ — Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $11 @ 90¢ — Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $592 @ 96.9¢ — Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $80 @ 76¢ — Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $64 @ 92¢ — Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $14,525 @ 92¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $564 @ 94¢ — Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $7,698 @ 96.5¢ — Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $584 @ 97.4¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 13, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $1,984 @ 98.7¢ — Will Mark Sanford be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $39 @ 98.5¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 12, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,908 @ 99.3¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 11, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $56 @ 97.3¢ — Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $4,650 @ 93¢ — Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $3,817 @ 94¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 14, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $11,160 @ 93¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 14, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $9,231 @ 98¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 11, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $12,090 @ 96.1¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 12, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $671 @ 96.7¢ — Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in August? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $10,290 @ 93¢ — Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $2,768 @ 93¢ — Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $312 @ 91¢ — Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,472 @ 95¢ — Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in August? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $2,985 @ 91.3¢ — Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $2,128 @ 87.4¢ — Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $284 @ 97.6¢ — Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $8,782 @ 94.8¢ — Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $3,617 @ 99.9¢ — Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 6? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $4,865 @ 99.8¢ — Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 6? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $59 @ 99.3¢ — Trump out as President by August 31? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $3,587 @ 95.6¢ — Xi Jinping out before 2027?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $56 @ 97.7¢ — Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in August? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $7,622 @ 87¢ — Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $233 @ 98.5¢ — Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $595 @ 92¢ — Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in August? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,396 @ 95.3¢ — Xi Jinping out before 2027?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $57 @ 97.9¢ — Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $179 @ 80¢ — Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $150 @ 92¢ — Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $920 @ 92¢ — Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $36 @ 98.7¢ — Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $6,987 @ 94.6¢ — Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $128 @ 89¢ — Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $2,361 @ 98.3¢ — Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $25,301 @ 98.9¢ — Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $1,422 @ 98.5¢ — Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in August? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $19,860 @ 99.3¢ — Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in August? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $786 @ 95.6¢ — Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $2,816 @ 94.5¢ — Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $77 @ 96.1¢ — Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $460 @ 99.3¢ — Trump out as President by August 31? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $27 @ 96¢ — US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $25,012 @ 97.8¢ — Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $3,831 @ 97.5¢ — Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $10,909 @ 97.6¢ — Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $19,074 @ 96.1¢ — Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $3,299 @ 96¢ — Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $4,539 @ 96¢ — Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $127 @ 99.1¢ — Trump out as President by August 31? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $2,457 @ 89¢ — Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,350 @ 89¢ — Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $2,620 @ 89¢ — Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $287 @ 87.3¢ — Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,420 @ 88.7¢ — Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $3,862 @ 89.6¢ — Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $19,994 @ 99.9¢ — Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $1,015 @ 99.5¢ — Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $984 @ 99.4¢ — Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $71 @ 99.3¢ — Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $24,623 @ 99.6¢ — Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $110 @ 99.4¢ — Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $9,064 @ 97¢ — Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $6,493 @ 95¢ — Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $2,551 @ 94.4¢ — Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $8 @ 99.8¢ — US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $4,419 @ 98.9¢ — US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $2,312 @ 98.8¢ — US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $1,071 @ 15¢ — Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $553 @ 14.5¢ — Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $5 @ 99.3¢ — Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $14,004 @ 99.8¢ — Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 28? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $97,815 @ 99.8¢ — Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 28? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $19,572 @ 98.5¢ — Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $16 @ 99.7¢ — Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 27? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $197 @ 98.6¢ — Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 27? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT No $482 @ 99.4¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $411 @ 99.8¢ — Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 27? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $6,393 @ 99.9¢ — Will Tadej Pogačar win the 2026 Tour De France? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $296 @ 99.9¢ — Will Remco Evenepoel win the 2026 Tour De France? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $2,865 @ 99.9¢ — Will Remco Evenepoel win the 2026 Tour De France? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $14 @ 99.9¢ — Will Tadej Pogačar win the 2026 Tour De France? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $528 @ 99.7¢ — Will Remco Evenepoel win the 2026 Tour De France? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $830 @ 99.7¢ — Will Tadej Pogačar win the 2026 Tour De France? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $29,581 @ 98.3¢ — Will Tadej Pogačar win the 2026 Tour De France? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $28,189 @ 98.4¢ — Will Remco Evenepoel win the 2026 Tour De France? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $59,940 @ 99.9¢ — Will LeBron James play for the Dallas Mavericks in 2026-27? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $3,800 @ 95¢ — New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $8,978 @ 99.7¢ — Trump out as President by July 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $3,968 @ 99.6¢ — Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗SOLD No $227 @ 98.5¢ — Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $5 @ 99.8¢ — Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in July? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $4,317 @ 97.9¢ — Will Remco Evenepoel win the 2026 Tour De France? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $81 @ 99.9¢ — Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $57,502 @ 99.9¢ — Will LeBron James play for the Dallas Mavericks in 2026-27? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $76,107 @ 99.8¢ — Will LeBron James play for the Dallas Mavericks in 2026-27? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $7,915 @ 99.8¢ — Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $14,888 @ 99.7¢ — Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $169,320 @ 99.6¢ — Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗BOUGHT No $18,134 @ 99.7¢ — Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $74 @ 98¢ — Will Mads Pedersen be awarded the Green Jersey at the 2026 Tour De France? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $76 @ 97.6¢ — Will Mads Pedersen be awarded the Green Jersey at the 2026 Tour De France? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT No $2,490 @ 99.9¢ — Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 24? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $5 @ 85¢ — Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $420 @ 98.7¢ — Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $2,446 @ 99.7¢ — Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in July? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $17,663 @ 96.4¢ — Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $448 @ 96.1¢ — Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓SOLD No $4,445 @ 99.8¢ — Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in July? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $20,826 @ 96¢ — Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $507 @ 98.8¢ — Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $422 @ 98.7¢ — Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $586 @ 98.7¢ — Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $1,030 @ 98.7¢ — Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $13,873 @ 88.1¢ — Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $3,378 @ 87.6¢ — Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $71,945 @ 99.1¢ — Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in July? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $5,994 @ 99.9¢ — Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 23? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $2,490 @ 95.4¢ — Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 23? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $3,081 @ 95.5¢ — Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 23? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $2,500 @ 98.6¢ — Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 23? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $47,451 @ 99.7¢ — Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 23? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $3,920 @ 99¢ — Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 23? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $1,321 @ 99.1¢ — Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in July? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $412 @ 96.5¢ — Will Mads Pedersen be awarded the Green Jersey at the 2026 Tour De France? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT No $1,130 @ 98.8¢ — Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in July? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓SOLD Yes $0 @ 83.7¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $531 @ 98.7¢ — Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in July? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $406 @ 99.2¢ — Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in July? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $5,134 @ 99.2¢ — Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 22? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $1,824 @ 99¢ — Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 22? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT No $504 @ 99¢ — Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in July? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $116 @ 98.9¢ — Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 22? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT No $15,941 @ 98.2¢ — Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in July? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓SOLD Yes $1,802 @ 81.3¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $409 @ 81.7¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $51,016 @ 82.4¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $494 @ 84.1¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $13,099 @ 92¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $10,951 @ 98.5¢ — Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in July? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $5,806 @ 97.4¢ — Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in July? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $3,171 @ 94.7¢ — Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓SOLD No $99,900 @ 99.9¢ — Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $50 @ 99.9¢ — Will Jonas Vingegaard win the 2026 Tour De France? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗SOLD No $2,060 @ 99.8¢ — Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in July? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $631 @ 99.7¢ — Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $229 @ 97.5¢ — Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $10,130 @ 99.7¢ — Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $425 @ 93¢ — China x Japan military clash before 2027? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $305 @ 38¢ — China x Philippines military clash before 2027? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,378 @ 39¢ — China x Philippines military clash before 2027? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,375 @ 55¢ — China x Philippines military clash before 2027? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $2,495 @ 63¢ — China x Philippines military clash before 2027? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $384 @ 96¢ — Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $952 @ 98.5¢ — Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓SOLD No $10,989 @ 99.9¢ — Will Jonas Vingegaard win the 2026 Tour De France? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗BOUGHT No $976 @ 99¢ — Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in July? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $2,465 @ 97.8¢ — Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in July? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $584 @ 95.2¢ — Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $1,886 @ 95.2¢ — Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $9,950 @ 99¢ — Will the winner of the 2026 Tour De France be from Denmark? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $2,919 @ 94.4¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $683 @ 4.8¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $484 @ 99.8¢ — Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in July? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $9,518 @ 99.9¢ — Will Jonas Vingegaard win the 2026 Tour De France? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗BOUGHT No $1,723 @ 99¢ — Will Paul Seixas win the 2026 Tour De France? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $4,259 @ 98¢ — Will Tadej Pogačar win the 2026 Tour De France? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealized
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- Wallets are pseudonymous. A wallet is its address. A name beside it is the handle its owner chose on Polymarket and set to public; labels in quotes are inferred from trade patterns on the venue and nothing else.
- Receipts, not advice. A receipt records what a wallet did and what the market later paid. Nothing here says what to bet. Research, not advice.
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Data: Polymarket data API, wallet 0x8b4bca1d794779e66e023d44391b2a86c5ab541b · ← All whale receipts